Oil & The Economy Collide

“There are too many ugly balance sheets,” warns one energy industry analyst, adding simply that “the group is not positioned for this downturn.” While the mainstream media continues to chant the happy-clappy side of lower oil prices, spewing various statistics about how the down-side of low oil prices is contained and the huge colossal massive tax cut means everything is awesome for America, the data – and now actions – do not bear this out.” – Zero Hedge

We all knew oil was an Achilles Hell. We all knew the economy was an Achilles Heel. Funny how we now see the two colliding. The currency war is really starting to come out of the shadows now.

The Next President of the United States of America: Jeb Bush, the Centralist Party’s Red Candidate

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is “moving forward” on a potential 2016 White House run and it appears more likely he will enter the Republican field, according to his son, who’s running for office in Texas.

George P. Bush told ABC’s “This Week” that his father is “still assessing” a presidential bid, but suggested it was more likely that he would seek the White House this time. The ex-governor declined to run for president in 2012 despite encouragement from Republicans.” – The Miami Herald

No, I’m not voting for him – no not Hillary either… but my money is on Jeb Bush for winning the Presidential Race in 2016. It will be quite a circus too, with Hillary in one corner and another Bush in the other. In fact it’s going to feel like déjà vu.

Hillary Clinton: The Centralist Party’s Blue Candidate

Hillary believes in government at the expense of the people. I do not say this lightly, because here she goes again. She just appeared at a Boston rally for Democrat gubernatorial candidate Martha Coakley on Friday. She was off the hook and amazingly told the crowd gathered at the Park Plaza Hotel not to listen to anybody who says that “businesses create jobs.”

“Don’t let anybody tell you it’s corporations and businesses create jobs,” Clinton said.

“You know that old theory, ‘trickle-down economics,’” she continued. “That has been tried, that has failed. It has failed rather spectacularly.”

“You know, one of the things my husband says when people say ‘Well, what did you bring to Washington,’ he said, ‘Well, I brought arithmetic,’” Hillary said.” – Martin Armstrong via Armstrong Economics blog, via Zero Hedge.

This is the perfect example of centralist thinking. In a nutshell she’s asserting that the central government is the primary force that empowers business to create jobs (productivity); and without the central government all is lost.

Decentralists think the opposite… that there is very little need for government. The primary roles would be to enforce the governing framework, protect the borders, and maintain international relations. The governing framework is what makes the playing field fair and allows people to thrive. In the USA, it’s the Constitution and Bill of Rights.

When you realize that the political problems in America stem not from bipartisan politics, but a two-sided single party – The Centralist Party – it’s easy to see why they all seem to work toward the same goals.

It also becomes clear there’s one party when we watch government get bigger. It’s no conspiracy, it’s just people like Hillary Clinton focused with laser beam accuracy on what they think is the right model for government – Centralism.

Ironically ‘trickle down’ is centralist too. Give money to the central powers (largest corporations) and hope that they grow, prosper, and lift the whole of society up with them. It’s status quo today from both red and blue sides of the centralist party. So it’s amazing that she could utter those conflicting statements in the same breath, and people don’t shake their heads and walk away.

I suspect more people are walking away. Unfortunately there are not too many places for people to go since the Centralist Party has locked any other political party out of Washington, DC. It will take a revolution of our minds to turn our backs on political parties all together to sweep these centralists out of the driver’s seat. But not sure that’s possible without a serious wake-up call.

Propaganda in the Time of Social Media

[Update: YouTube removed the video I had linked to. Probably a good thing, since it helps decapitate (pun intended) the ability of IS/ISIS/ISIL to spread propaganda.]

Fascinating turn of events. The Islamic State (a.k.a. ISIS or ISIL) is trying to turn the propaganda war in their favor. Now that they have America’s attention – gained via what many think are fake beheading videos – they are preparing to tell their side of the story. This is the first video of a series to be released.

Like the telling of all stories, we should take these with a grain of salt – but not miss this truly unique moment in time. A relatively small organization – the Islamic State – can now send its message to a world wide audience via social media. What will be most interesting is how effectively they are able to control the narrative and the response from western governments.

My gut tells me this propaganda effort will be successful in further destabilizing the west and may contribute to the catalyst for war.

But the tone of this video hints at another motive – one that contradicts the beheading videos. The reasonable tone set forth in the video seems directed at appealing to logic and deep desire to know the truth. In other words, it looks like it’s a campaign intended to gain the support for withdrawing western militaries from the Middle East.

Up until now I’ve suspected that they want the U.S. to bomb them because it will only intensify their local recruiting efforts. But if the American public’s support for war could be undermined, the Islamic State many benefit from a two-sided propaganda campaign.

  1. More anti-war sentiment in the West would make it harder for western powers to destroy the Islamic State militarily.
  2. More anti-American sentiment in the Middle East would make it easier to recruit people to join their Caliphate.

In other words – a delicate propaganda balance delivered via social media. An amazing feat if they can pull it off. But no propaganda yields positive results.

If the Islamic State chooses to hold-off on any attacks on American soil it would help them maintain their balance and achieve their goal of establishing a Caliphate. This would be a short-term win-win for Americans – because they don’t have to experience the bloodshed first hand. But in the long-term the reality still stands that the people of the Islamic State hate Americans for the imperialistic nature of our government and foreign policy. So the creation of a Caliphate in the east might be a far greater threat to the people of the west in the long run.

What to do?

  • Watch, listen, digest, keep your head strait. We’re about to witness some of the most amazing propaganda humanity has ever seen, delivered at the speed of light to your mobile phone.
  • Prepare for destabilization – it’s more on-the-table than ever before. We are at war.

America Openly Funds World Wide Destabilization, Destruction, and Death

America – Please wake up! The U.S. Congress just approved funding to the moderate Syrian rebels. Main stream media reports also indicate that these moderate rebels sell arms to ISIS – so your tax dollars are being delivered to ISIS by a moderate currier.

What I don’t understand is – why is everyone so silent, so permissive? Why are Americans standing-down and letting this happen? It’s like the majority is afraid of being ridiculed for calling a spade a spade and pointing to the truth.

If it takes an indirectly U.S. funded attack on U.S. soil to wake people up, that’s going to be the most tragic day in American history. Not because of the chaos and death that results, but because we’ve cumulatively lost our way and become the very thing we say we despise.



So Which Is It? Is the Dollar Strong or Toast?

Conflicting reports in the news today about the current state of the U.S. Dollar. Some say the Dollar is stronger than ever, others say the Dollar is slowly weakening, and still others say the Dollar is about to hit the skids as the BRICS rise.

No matter which narrative you believe, a few things remain true:

  1. The Dollar is backed by the demand for it globally. So as demand shifts, the value of the Dollar us put in a delicate balance.
  2. The BRICS are rising. Sanctions against Russia are dividing the world on East/West lines.
  3. The markets are not necessarily indicative of future trends – only current reactions. So relying on them to predict the future is unreliable. Instead look to larger global trends for making guesses at the future value of things like the Dollar.

What to do?

  • Physical assets, while often heavy and difficult to move, have intrinsic value because they are useful. Food, tools, land, and shelter are things people can use.
  • Monetary metals like silver and gold have historically held value during tough economic times.
  • Skills are also assets, but guessing which skills might have value in the future can be tricky – in easy and tough times. Although skills that people need under any situation are more likely to hold more value like medical, farming, mechanical, building will always find demand.

At the end of the day it’s up to the individual to know how to hedge one’s bets – but waking up to the reality that the new normal is change, a normalcy bias can be blinding, and things like self-reliance is essential for riding through any change.


Permanent State of War? That’s the Strategy.

President Barack Obama will announce Wednesday that the fight against ISIS militants could outlast his administration, a senior administration official told NBC News on Monday.” – NBC News.com

The tough question is… how can ISIS be defeated without genocide? Seriously… this is a religious war as far as the Islamic State is concerned. So anyone that believes that they are fighting a religious war will become our enemy. How many people will come to the aid of the Islamic State when war is continuous?

War is not the solution. This war will lead to genocide. The only peace that can be found is to turn regular folk away from ISIS/ISIL and show them a better way. Provide a real alternative, not a permanent state of war.

The other issue is that America can’t fight an asymmetric war like the Islamic State, and they could extend the battle field to American soil. Sadly when they do that it will solidify the strategy of permanent war as Americans everywhere back genocide in the Middle East.

Ukraine’s Defense Minister Accuses Moscow of Threatening to Use Tactical Nukes

Earlier [Ukraine’s Defense Minister Valery] Geletey wrote in his Facebook that the operation “to cleanse Ukraine’s east from terrorists” was over. He, however, proceeded to accuse Russia of direct military involvement in the east that followed the rebels’ “defeat.”

“A big war has come to our home, a war Europe has not seen since WWII,” Geletey wrote alleging that Russia not only attempted to secure its position on the rebel-held territories, but also advance onto other regions.

He said that Moscow – through “unofficial channels” – has “repeatedly threatened to use tactical nuclear weapons” on Ukraine if Kiev continues to resist.” – RT News

Oh great, so now if tactical nukes are used in Ukraine, it’s going to be Ukraine’s word against Russia’s word. I don’t think Putin would ever use tactical nukes to start a war because it’s one small step toward a wider nuclear war. Ukraine is just not important to Russia. All Putin has to do to apply real pressure is turn off the natural gas.

But if nuclear weapons are used, even small tactical nukes, you should assume that the safeties are coming off and we’re moving to DEFCON 2.

If that happens don’t fear it, prepare for it. Nuclear war is survivable, especially if you’re outside potential blast zones. Choosing not to prepare is like choosing to commit suicide in the most horrific way. Instead forget what Hollywood has taught you and learn what little there is to know about surviving a nuclear war. Here are some highlights:

  • 3-feet of dirt between you and radioactive fallout from a bomb can cut the radiation inside your (makeshift) shelter by 1000 times.
  • Fallout from bombs decays at a rate measured in hours not years. For every sevenfold amount of time radiation from blast fallout decays by a factor of 10.
  • The first 48 hours after a bomb blast are the most critical time to stay sheltered.
  • Expect to stay sheltered for two to four weeks depending on how much fallout lands in your area.
  • After 28 days the risk from radiation is virtually gone – except for a few longer-lived radioactive isotopes that may show up in some foods for years after, like dairy products.
  • Water and shelf stable food stores are essential.

Some things to obtain if you’re serious about preparing for nuclear war.

  • The book Nuclear War Survival Skills by Cresson Kearny. You can find it free online too.
  • Tools and materials to build an improvised shelter like a shovel, sandbags, timbers for the roof, plywood, screws/nails. An improvised shelter is mostly dirt, the lumber and sandbags give you a way to create a small space inside to hunker down.
  • Dust masks, gloves, goggles, and other protective clothing
  • Geiger counter
  • Water & shelf-stable food
  • Potassium Iodide & Apple Pectin

That’s the short version. For the longer version read that book.

Staged? Fake? What is this, Game of Thrones?

But an unnamed British forensic science company believes Foley was likely killed after the video was complete and that the malicious militant in the clip may not have done the deed.“I think it has been staged,” one analyst said. “My feeling is that the execution may have happened after the camera was stopped.” – New York Post

Who knows what to believe anymore. At the end of the day two things are still true:

  1. The Islamic State militants are extremely violent. Even if this video is a fake – made to freak everyone out – the truth that they do this kind of thing all the time. Read about their regular use of beheadings.
  2. The U.S. Government is pushing for war in the Middle East – again. For example, read more about the growing number of airstrikes in Iraq.

This is enough to know that we’re continuing to move toward war with The Islamic State which may bring trouble here. What worries me most is the potential deception – it shows a real flair for running a psyop. Even if the video is real… it’s still a major mind trip.