All posts by Michael Janzen

Web Designer/Developer/Consultant. Expert in web application design and mobile web.

Very Worried About This UN Vote

In the news we read:

“In the first barometer of global condemnation of Russia’s annexation of Crimea, Ukraine and its Western backers persuaded a large majority of countries in the United Nations General Assembly on Thursday to dismiss the annexation as illegal, even as Russia sought to rally world support for the idea of self-determination.” - United Nations General Assembly Vote Isolates Russia – NYTimes.com.

Instead of rambling on like so many about right & wrong and who we think is more at fault over this Ukraine thing – lets cut to the chase.

Nations around the world are lining up and taking sides on what could turn into a huge global economic split. Pictured below is a quick  yet incomplete look at how the world is splitting apart.

ukraine resolution vote results

I think we can assume that the BRICS are siding with Russia. The BRICS are the rising economic world power, a reality that must really threaten western leaders.

I may be jumping ahead, but if the BRICS chose to stand together and pick some other currency, like the Chinese Yuan, as the preferred currency for international trade, the US Dollar would loose its status as the sole world reserve currency.

What would the loss of the US Dollar’s dominance mean to main street America? 

Technically speaking it would mean that a big chunk of the world would stop demanding dollars. Lower demand of anything results in lower value. When a currency looses value quickly we experience it as rising prices on consumables like food, fuel, and services. If it happens incredibly fast we call it hyperinflation.

Will we see more inflation if the world splits economically in two?

There’s no way to tell because so much reality is papered over by the central banks and government stimulus.

What worries me is that the world leaders seem hell-bent on taking us there. They will blame each other for the mess – when they are all to blame – and the people will end up footing the bill or worse.

So in the mean time I pray they stand down and find some other way to resolve these differences – and buckle up for a rough ride just in case cool heads don’t prevail.

China Continues to Cut U.S. Treasury Holdings

So the spin is… other foreigners are buying our paper, as China dumps it. This story is also not exactly front page news, probably because most Americans don’t follow the currency war.

“China, the largest foreign U.S. creditor, reduced holdings of U.S. Treasury debt in December by the most in two years as the Federal Reserve announced plans to slow asset purchases.The nation pared its position in U.S. government bonds by $47.8 billion, or 3.6 percent, to $1.27 trillion, the largest decline since December 2011, according to U.S. Treasury Department data released yesterday. At the same time, international investors increased holdings by 1.4 percent, or by $78 billion, in December, pushing foreign holdings to a record $5.79 trillion.” - via China Cuts Treasury Holdings Most Since 2011 Amid Taper – Bloomberg.

The short version, in my humble opinion, is that the world is dividing between nations standing behind The West and The East, and the prize will be reserve currency status.

At the very least recognize that it’s on the table that The West will loose – or at least be willing to start a shooting war in an attempt to win; then… prepare.

 

Advice to Those Who Are Trusted Watch Other People’s Children

Sadly, some people may never understand this simple truth; but it’s essential for maintaining the required level of trust with parents.

When you are trusted to watch other people’s children, you must respect the wishes of the parents no matter if you agree or not.

So if this is something that you might utter to parents, consider altering it slightly:

BEFORE: “You know I would never do anything that I thought would endanger your children.”

CHANGE TO: “I will never do anything you think would endanger your children.”

Relatives, like grand parents, are probably the most guilty of this sort of thinking because they sometimes think they know better than the parents. Maybe they do; maybe they don’t.

But it’s not a matter of who’s right or who’s wrong – or the specifics of any single incident.  It’s a matter or respecting the risk tolerance levels of the parents.  In these cases your opinion takes second fiddle.

If you don’t honor and respect the wishes of the parents, you will very quickly find yourself untrusted. If you make this your standard operating procedure you may quickly find yourself in a situation where all trust is lost, especially if this has been communicated to your time after time.

So… if you’re ever in a situation where you’re watching someone else’s children, honor the parents’ wishes.

The Sound You Hear is a Balloon Stretching

FED creates bubble

David Stockman (Fmr. Director of OMB under President Reagan) speaks out about the bubble being formed by the artificial stimulus policies of the Federal Reserve and U.S. Government. He says the stock market is up too due to the stimulus.

Is the whole world in a bubble? – asks the commentator.

YES! – Stockman says.

All of us need to take note and buckle our seats belts. There is no telling when the bubble will pop because the Fed/Gov seems willing to pump the balloon full of an infinite amount of air. Read and see more at CNBC…

WOW – It’s so easy to change your cell phone number these days!

I just have to say – I was amazed to discover how easy it is to change one’s cell phone number these days. I just logged into our account (AT&T) and clicked a couple times and voila – new numbers for both of our phones.

I could never remember my number – or Julia’s – but now we’ve got matching numbers just digits away from each other. We’ve only got a few people to tell – if we missed you please email me.

Just want to thank GREEN FLEA for inspiring us to do that. Thanks again you little bugger!

Alternate Explanation for Extreme Weather

I like the logic the fellow at Suspicious0bservers presents. Here’s what I make of it all.

Climate change is not entirely manmade. Pollution is all bad, but it’s not the whole story. Space weather is changing in our solar system. My guess is that we’re simply passing through a particularly tough spot of the normal cycle.

Picture a big clock with gears – now follow the spinning. The earth orbits the sun, our solar system orbits Sirius, and we all transit above and below the galactic equator as we travel around the galactic center. So as we spin around we encounter fluctuations in regular patterns as we travel through space. We can see some of these in patterns in Earth’s geologic record – like ice ages, solar activity, and so on.

800px-Carbon14_with_activity_labels

800px-Sunspot_Numbers

 

(Solar Activity Events source) (400 Years of Sunspot Observations)

Some other facts:

  • Our atmosphere is shrinking due to low solar activity.
  • Earth’s magnetic field is weakening.
  • The polar caps are melting.
  • Weather is shifting.
  • Precipitation and heat records are being made regularly.

So what to do?

  • Expect more of the same and know that humanity survives these changes.
  • Expect the powers-that-be to continue to use other explanations.
  • Expect conspiracy theorists to completely muddy the facts.
  • Build a more resilient life & prepare for the unexpected.

Just my two cents – for what it’s worth.

Main Stream Media Says Sea Rise is On The Table

Typically I avoid main stream media… it’s just a lot of noise, but I monitor to hear the narrative of the day. Sea rise, climate change, carbon in the atmosphere, are still current memes.

Today’s story from CBS is that carbon dioxide has reached a 2 million year high, and the last time it was this high the sea levels were 66 feet higher.

So just for fun I checked the flood map to see what 66 feet (20 meters) would mean to my part of California. Interestingly enough California’s inland valley from Yuba City to Turlock becomes an inland sea with major flooding in the Bay Area.

Bay Area Flood Map

Fair Oaks, California would be just minutes from the beach. Hey maybe this climate change stuff isn’t such a bad thing after all… just kidding.

Fair Oaks Flood Map

So what to think? No matter who you believe, a one fact is indisputable. Greenhouse gasses (methane, carbon dioxide, aerosols) are on the rise and climate change is the new normal. Flexibility and resilience should be our focus and be playing a big role in all our plans.

 

Where Do You Stand on the Bill of Rights?

bill of rights

Where Do You Stand on the Bill of Rights? I realize this may seem like a loaded rhetorical question… but… there are some people, including some in government, that clearly don’t value the framework our nation was founded upon. Their actions show us that they think it’s ok to pass new laws, or in the case of the President, issue executive orders that boldly undermine the Constitution & Bill of Rights.

No matter what labels we all choose to wear (liberal, conservative, moderate, democrat, republican, libertarian, etc) we the people are Americans first, so protecting the Constitution & Bill of Rights protects our freedom.

Can we PLEASE STAND TOGETHER and put a stop to this trend!?
rp12-bill-of-rights-sopa-ndaa-patriot-act-copy

Conspiracy Theorists Cloud the Truth Like a Drop of Piss in a Cup of Coffee

alex jones rants at piers morgan

Alex Jones (pictured above on the right, speaking with Piers Morgan) may be one of the best known conspiracy theorists. His angry ranting seems to work well for him on his radio (and internet) show but for most folks he must come across as irrational.

Conspiracy theorists don’t help expose the truth, they (often inadvertently) cloud the truth by tainting the facts they present with small insertions of accusations, assumptions, generalizations and inaccurate facts.

The only way wake up the masses from a big lie would be with a mountain of rock solid investigation backed with undeniable facts presented as glossy as the prime time news. This is because the bigger the lie the bigger the case against it must be.

Hitler knew how to tell the biggest lies and wrote about them in Mein Kampf:

“All this was inspired by the principle–which is quite true within itself–that in the big lie there is always a certain force of credibility; because the broad masses of a nation are always more easily corrupted in the deeper strata of their emotional nature than consciously or voluntarily; and thus in the primitive simplicity of their minds they more readily fall victims to the big lie than the small lie, since they themselves often tell small lies in little matters but would be ashamed to resort to large-scale falsehoods. It would never come into their heads to fabricate colossal untruths, and they would not believe that others could have the impudence to distort the truth so infamously.” (wikipedia)

So when we are presented with big lies, or big truths, there must be a larger opposing force to push it aside. Apparently this as true for ideas as it is for physics.

This also explains why conspiracy theorists make matters worse. A small group of people that are open to alternate ideas and those who don’t buy into the main stream point of view will listen and believe the conspiracy theorist. The masses will think the conspiracy theorist is just a nut and their beliefs in the main stream point of view will end up being hardened.

What to do?

Think for yourself, weigh all the evidence yourself, and decide which truth seems more plausible. Then (more importantly) observe the tide, step back, and avoid being caught up – not to turn your back on the issues but to better choose your next step.

In the case of Sandy Hook, just like 9/11, we see a lot of evidence presented by conspiracy theorists that seems valid that the official story is filled with partial truths. We also see the powers-that-be pushing an agenda. In the case of 9/11 it was war with Iraq, in the case of Sandy Hook it’s gun control.

So the tide this time is a swirling confusion of facts but the main direction of the flow is toward gun control. So no matter what actually happened at Sandy Hook the powers-that-be, or a powerful subset, want to take guns away from Americans. The outcome of this could have wide sweeping impacts such as an increase in crime overall, the reduction of personal freedom, and the increasing of the centralization of power in Washington DC.

So one’s next step should probably account for those net effects. You can also choose to fight the tide which may be a fools errand much as tilting at windmills but if it makes you happy go for it. Otherwise it may be more beneficial to focus on the things you can control and surf toward and eddy to ride out the wave.

Caution, paradigm shift ahead.